Get Those Shovels Ready

AccuWeather's snowfall predictions.

SREF showing 12 hr probabilty of 8+ inches of snow.  The
highest probability is in Eastern Crawford, Erie, and Southwestern NY.
Credit: e-Wall

I hope you dug out those shovels and winter jackets because the fun starts tomorrow. Snow is expected to begin falling around sunrise.  All the weather models I've seen are predicting anywhere between 10" to 16".  Again, models tend to be a little bullish but I wouldn't doubt that some higher elevations in Central PA and southern NY actually see totals that high.  For Crawford County, I'm predicting anywhere between 5" and 9" tomorrow with another 2"-4" overnight into Tuesday AM.  Total snow accumulations through Wednesday will be around 7"-13" with higher amounts coming in the higher elevation areas (Canadohta Lake, Cambridge Springs).  A Winter Storm Watch was issued by the NWS earlier.  I'm sure they will upgrade that to a warning eventually.  The bulk of the snow from this system is expected to fall in Western, Central PA and Southern NY so I'm sure the weather media will be focusing on our area over the next couple days. This snow will be a very wet snow with alot of water content.  This, along with the leaves on the trees, could cause trees to fall and power lines to go down.

As lame as the winter has been, I think we can handle this one snow storm :)

SREF Plume for Port Meadville Airport.  The dark line in the middle
is the mean amount of snowfall predicted to accumulate.  It is the average
of many model runs seen in the picture.  The mean levels out at around 12".