March 8, 2014

Become a Skywarn Spotter! Training Days Announced

-- Repost from last year with updated dates--
Skwarn spotter card that enables you to report severe
weather events to the NWS. 

The NWS in Cleveland has announced the Skywarn Spotter Training dates for 2014.  Each year these training sessions are held in just about every county and main purpose is to educate the public on weather spotting techniques.  A meteorologist from the NWS is typically in attendance and gives a presentation on spotting techniques and a background on severe weather.  This event is free and is open to the public.  The Skywarn session in Crawford County will be held Monday March 17, 2014 at 6:30 PM.  It will be held in St. Brigids Church in Meadville.  If you can't make it to the one in Meadville, there will also be one in Erie at Hamot Hospital on Tuesday April 1, 2014 at 6:30 PM.

I was able to attend the one in Erie a few years ago.  It was my first time attending a Skywarn Session and I was impressed.  Gary Garnet, a meteorologist at the NWS in Cleveland gave a presentation on severe weather and spotting techniques.  The presentation was great and very informative.  I encourage everybody to attend a session.  It is a great experience and I guarantee you will walk out of there with more knowledge of the weather.  The best part about Skywarn is that it is free and open to anybody.  You also get the opportunity to sign up to become a spotter which enables you the chance to report any severe weather to the NWS.  Because they are in Cleveland and cannot be present every time severe weather occurs, they rely on their Skywarn spotters heavily for severe weather reports.  Everything is free and anybody can sign up.

  Crawford County Skywarn
  Monday March 17, 2014 6:30 PM
  St. Brigids Church
  383 Arch Street
  Meadville, PA 16335
  MAP

  Erie County Skywarn
  Tuesday April 1, 2014 6:30 PM
  Hamot Hospital
  Hamot Hospital Audtorium
  201 State Street Erie, PA 16550
  MAP


Go To The NWS Cleveland Skywarn Website

March 22, 2013

Extreme Cold This Year, Extreme Warmth Last Year. What's Going On?


 Here is a graphic for you.








2012 vs 2013 Week of March 18-22 High Temperatures.
Red denotes 2012, blue 2013.

Talk about a huge difference!

This week in 2012 was a very warm one, as was the whole spring.  A few days this week temperatures topped 80° in many locations across the county. 

As for 2013, the exact opposite!  Temperatures have been very cold and have been unable to reach 40°. 

Why the difference?  A blocking pattern was relevant in both years around this time. However, the blocking pattern in 2012 was off the east coast, allowing for warm air to funnel from the south and storm systems to move well to our north.

This year, the blocking pattern is farther north into Greenland and extreme northern Canada.  This tends to stall storm systems out in the northeastern US and eastern Canada and pulls cold air down into the eastern US. 

As soon as the blocking pattern this year breaks down, we'll be on our way to spring.  However, this doesn't appear to happen until a week or so into April.


March 17, 2013

Messy Monday, Snowy & Cold Week Ahead

 ****************
Warning Message:The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for mixed precipitation which is in effect from
8 am to 2 PM EDT Monday for CRAWFORD COUNTY.
 ****************

The first day of spring is this Wednesday but you wouldn't know that by looking at the forecast.  A large disturbance will move through tomorrow morning bringing a wintry mix across the region.  Periods of freezing rain, snow/sleet, and rain are all likely tomorrow. Ice accumulation is a concern as well as a trace to an inch of snow.  Temperatures will be in the low to mid 30s and gusty winds will make it feel like the middle of winter.  Monday is definitely the worst day of the week but this system is not expected to make it very far north and east before it stalls out.  A northwesterly flow will develop and persist all the way into the weekend.  Cold air will filter in and over the lake allowing for lake effect clouds and snow showers to develop.  Accumulations are likely through Friday with the snowbelt getting the most.  A couple inches to a half a foot are possible by the time the weekend approaches. So for the next week, clouds, cold, and a mix of precipitation to snow is the storyline.  No spring like weather is in sight.  That darn groundhog.

Monday afternoon model forecast. 
Blue = snow, green = rain, orange = sleet, pink = freezing rain


February 21, 2013

Freezing Rain, Ice an Issue for Friday & Saturday

An approaching system will bring warm air into the region Friday allowing for freezing rain, sleet, and a rain/snow mix to occur from Friday morning through Saturday afternoon.  Road conditions will deteriorate fast so be careful if you have to adventure outside.  Freezing rain is most likely Friday afternoon and overnight Friday into Saturday morning. 

Ice accumulation chances Friday morning through Saturday morning.
Source: NOAA HPC

February 10, 2013

Skywarn Spotter Training

Skwarn spotter card that enables you to report severe
weather events to the NWS. 
-- Repost from last year with updated dates--

The NWS in Cleveland has announced the Skywarn Spotter Training dates for 2013.  Each year these training sessions are held in just about every county and main purpose is to educate the public on weather spotting techniques.  A meteorologist from the NWS is typically in attendance and gives a presentation on spotting techniques and a background on severe weather.  This event is free and is open to the public.  The Skywarn session in Crawford County will be held Thursday March 14, 2013at 6:30 PM.  It will be held in St. Brigids Church in Meadville.  If you can't make it to the one in Meadville, there will also be one in Erie at Hamot Hospital on Tuesday March 26, 2013at 6:30 PM.

I was able to attend the one in Erie two years ago.  It was my first time attending a Skywarn Session and I was impressed.  Gary Garnet, a meteorologist at the NWS in Cleveland gave a presentation on severe weather and spotting techniques.  The presentation was great and very informative.  I encourage everybody to attend a session.  It is a great experience and I guarantee you will walk out of there with more knowledge of the weather.  The best part about Skywarn is that it is free and open to anybody.  You also get the opportunity to sign up to become a spotter which enables you the chance to report any severe weather to the NWS.  Because they are in Cleveland and cannot be present every time severe weather occurs, they rely on their Skywarn spotters heavily for severe weather reports.  Everything is free and anybody can sign up.

  Crawford County Skywarn
  Thursday March 14, 20136:30 PM
  St. Brigids Church
  383 Arch Street
  Meadville, PA 16335
  MAP

  Erie County Skywarn
  Tuesday March 26, 20136:30 PM
  Hamot Hospital
  Hamot Hospital Audtorium
  201 State Street Erie, PA 16550
  MAP


Go To The NWS Cleveland Skywarn Website

February 7, 2013

Icy Commute Possible For Friday AM, No Impact From Coastal Storm

The weather got interesting real fast this week.  Only one weather model (Euro) was predicting a coastal storm to develop for this weekend at the beginning of the week.  However as days progressed, other weather models starting to agree and here we are today monitoring what could be a historical storm for the New England coast. Being far away from the coast, NW PA is out of the scope of this storm.  However, two pieces of "energy" will be trekking across the U.S. and merging on the coastline to form this historical storm.  The northerly most disturbance will take a path right through our region.  Even though it won't have quite the punch that the coastal storm will have, it still could provide a headache for travelers across the area.  This system is forecasted to move through starting early Friday AM (2-3AM) and will depart by Saturday morning.  With surface temperatures below freezing and this system bringing in warm air aloft, rain is likely to fall and freeze when it hits the surface in the early morning hours. (2-7AM).  A transition to rain and then snow will occur afterwards with snow accumulations of 2"-4" likely with  a few spots getting 5".  Things clear out Saturday afternoon with sun but chilly conditions.  A nice warm-up for Sunday and part of Monday as our next system moves into the region.  Colder air returns late Monday.

To summarize the event...
  • The coastal storm (dubbed Nemo from TWC) will not affect our region.  
  • One of the initial disturbances that will eventually form the coastal storm will affect us.
  • Main concerns for Crawford County & the rest of NW PA...
    •    Possible icy wintry mix (freezing rain) for Friday morning during commute hours.
    •    Light to moderate snowfall accumulations during the late morning and afternoon hours.
  • Clearing out by Saturday afternoon (sunny but chilly)
  • Warm ahead of next system that will pass Monday.

    I hope this helps and relieves you of any Nemo concerns.  Boston, NYC and the rest of the New England coast will be hit the hardest, not so much once you head into PA except for northeastern PA.
As always feel free to e-mail me at jordan@crawfordweather.com or send me a Facebook message with questions.  

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