Severe Weather Likely Thursday

Severe weather is expected to occur across much of the area tomorrow. The SPC has issued a moderate risk and Crawford County is on the edge of it.  In terms of severe weather, a moderate risk isn't issued very often so this is something to consider.  A derecho is expected to form and will bring strong winds to whoever is in its path.  Here is what the SPC is saying....

SPC:

"POTENTIAL FOR A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT/DERECHO ON THU AFTERNOON FROM PARTS OF THE MIDWEST TO THE NORTHEAST..."
"CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO GROW WITH POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS...PARTICULARLY FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE NORTHEAST."

 

As of right now, there seems to be "two" severe weather events for Thursday.  The first one will occur in the morning hours somewhere just before sunrise.  This one is interesting. Earlier the models had a derecho/large bow echo moving through our region but the newer models have actually weakened it and moved it up towards Buffalo, putting us out of the way.  However, there are still storms that will affect our area at that time, but hopefully winds will not be as big of an issue as I feared earlier with the bow moving through.

The other event will be in the aftenroon/evening when the cold front begins to work its way through our region.  Daytime heating, large temperature gradient along the front, and a strong low level jet will help fuel thunderstorm development.  These have the chance to be pretty nasty so watch out.  Strong winds, hail, and even an isolated tornado are possible as these storms begin to pop up.   

Make sure to check back here for more updates about this severe weather event.  I'll keep you posted today and tomorrow of any possible severe weather threats.  Always take a look at our advisories page for any weather watches and warnings that are issued.