May 25, 2012

NOAA Releases Hurricane Predictions

NOAA relased their annual predictions regarding the upcoming Atlantic Hurricane season, which runs June 1st to November 30th.  They are predicting 9-15 names storms, of which 4-8 will become hurricanes.  They expect 1-3 of those hurricanes to become major hurricanes, which requires a status of Category 3 or higher.  Here are predictions from different people and places for the upcoming hurricane season.

Predictions of tropical activity in the 2012 season
Source Date Named
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
Average (1950–2000)[1] 9.6 5.9 2.3
Record high activity 28 15 8
Record low activity 4 2 0
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TSR December 7, 2011[2] 14 7 3
WSI December 21, 2011[3] 12 7 3
CSU April 4, 2012[4] 10 4 2
TSR April 12, 2012 13 6 3
TWC April 24, 2012 11 6 2
UKMO May 24, 2012[5] 10* N/A N/A
NOAA May 24, 2012 9-15 4-8 1-3
TSR May 24, 2012 13 6 3
Source: Wikipedia

Some are on there twice as they have made revisions throughout the last few months.
Hurricanes are classified on the Saffir-Simpson scale:
                
                   wind (mph)
Category 1:   74-95
Category 2:   96-110
Category 3:   111-129
Category 4:   130-156
Category 5:   >= 157

The season hasn't officially began yet but there has already been one named storm: Alberto.

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