Storm Reports June 28th

Here are some storm reports that were sent in to the NWS last night when the storms rolled through.  

Hail Reports

Linesville
Meadville
East Meadville

Wind Reports

Titusville:  A few trees reported down across the area.

Thursday's Official Highs Around The Region

4th of July Fireworks

Hello everybody. 4th of July is just around the corner and that means family get-togethers, picnics, and of course...fireworks!  Each year there are many firework shows around the county and CrawfordWeather.com is issuing a Fireworks Forecast.  Below is a list of firework displays that will be happening. I'm sure I'll be adding to this list as I discover more.  A forecast will listed as well. I'm also including a 4th of July Forecast for outdoor activities on the 4th.  Take care and have a good and safe 4th of July!


Fireworks: 


Saturday June 30

   Canadohta Lake
      10:00 PM

   Pymatuning State Park Dam - Jamestown, PA
      Starting At Dusk

   Centerville
      Starting At Dusk



Sunday July 1

   Movies at Meadville
       10:00 PM

Fireworks Forecast

As the Fourth of July gets closer, I'll be listing the regions firework shows and also be giving a 'Fireworks' Forecast so make sure to check back! 

Your Weekend Outlook

Wednesday's Highs

The first day of summer proved to be well..."summer like" with very warm temperatures and high dew points.  So how hot did it get?  Here are the high temperatures around the region for Wednesday.

Graphic of Wednesday's high temperatures.  The range was 84°-93°. 
Red numbers indicate official airport observations while
the orange are from personal weather stations.
Data from wunderground.com

Summer Arriving Early

Although Summer doesn't officially start until Wednesday evening at 7:09 PM, it'll feel alot like summer starting tomorrow as warm, moist air enters the region.  Highs are expected to hit 87° here in Meadville but factor the amount of water vapor in the air and it'll feel alot more like the middle to upper 90s.  It's only going to get hotter for Wednesday as highs are expected to reach 90° in Meadville and some places could even get up to 92°.  It'll be another warm and humid day.  Although I don't think we'll break the record for Tuesday (91°), we could tie or even break the record for Wednesday (90°).  Thursday is looking warm and humid as well but a "slight" cool down will occur for Friday and Saturday as a weak front pushes through.  Highs will be in the upper 70s.  Not much expected in terms of precip.  Could see a storm as the front pushes through Thursday evening but no wash out days in sight.

Webpage Updates

Some new things are coming to the website.  Hopefully by the end of the summer (most likely earlier than that), I'll have all of these things done.  Some of the new features coming:

-   CrawfordWeather.com Photos
  A  chance for users to upload various pictures to CrawfordWeather.com to display them on the site.

-   Regional Weather
   Current conditions for areas outside of Crawford County but within the region. (Erie, Franklin..etc.)

County wide forecasts are expected to be displayed
on the website before the end of the summer.

-  County wide temperature forecasts
   I'm working on a weather model that will compute temperatures for many locations across the county.  I'm still working on accuracy issues with it but it is coming along pretty well so far. There will be a high and low temperature map for various locations across the county.

-  A smoother, more efficient webpage design.
  This one will require the most work for me but my goal is to make things a little more professional looking.  The overall design of the page won't change but some of the graphics might.  Occasionally some of the things on the webpage tend to be out of whack with the rest of the site so my goal is to correct these issues.

-  Morning Audio Forecasts
I'm planning on busting out the audio forecasts for the webpage.  The plan is to have a audio player on the website where users can listen to a 1 minute forecast segment every morning detailing the weather for the day and night. 

-  Forecast Verification
I'll be posting forecast verification results so you can see how well (or how well I didn't do) for the month in terms of temperature accuracy. 


Pretty long list of stuff to do. My plan is to have this all done before the end of the summer, and hopefully if all goes well, earlier than that.  The earliest would be like mid July.  I'm always up for suggestions for improving the website.  If you would like to see something or don't like something that I have on here, send me a message at jordan@crawfordweather.com.

Thurston Classic Forecast

It is that time of the year again...The Thurston Classic is set to kickoff Thursday night with the annual night glow event at Allegheny College's Robertson Field.  The 4 day event has plenty to offer for entertainment and you couldn't ask for a better weather forecast for it.  Thursday through Sunday is looking dry, sunny, and warm.  Here is your exclusive 4-day Thurston Classic forecast only at CrawfordWeather.com

Thursday June 14 @ 9 PM
Night Glow

Conditions:  Mostly clear skies.
Launch Time Temp:  68°
Winds:  Light, < 5 mph, ENE


Friday June 15 @ 6 PM
Sponsors Flight

Conditions:  Mostly sunny.
Launch Time Temp:  77°-80°
Winds:  Light, 5-10 mph, SE



Saturday June 16 @ 7 AM
Race #1


Conditions:  Mostly Sunny.
Launch Time Temp:  59°-63° 
Winds:  Light, 3-7 mph, SSE


Saturday June 16 @ 6 PM
Race #2


Conditions: Mostly sunny.
Launch Time Temp:  78°-82°
Winds:  Light, 5-10 mph, SSE


Sunday June 17 @ 7 AM
Race #3


Conditions:  Partly cloudy.
Launch Time Temp:  62°-66°
Winds:  Light to Moderate, 8-14 mph, S


For more information regarding this year's Thurston Classic...check out thurstonclassic.com

Weekend Outlook

The weather for this weekend is looking great!  A ridge of high pressure is currently set up in the northeastern US and this is contributing to fair weather.  What started off as a cooler week will progressively get warmer over the next few days and the warmth will continue into the weekend as the ridge slowly drifts east.  Weekend highs are looking to be in the low to mid 80s.  The normal for this time of year is around 77°.

Saturday will be mainly sunny all day.  Sunday will start off mostly-to-partly sunny and clouds will increase later in the evening as a weak front approaches the area.  Overnight Sunday could see some rain chances, depending on the strength of the front.  Overall, it will be a pretty superb weekend to get out and do some yard work, tan, or just enjoy the summer like weather.  Check out the Thurston Classic in Meadville if you have time.  Have a great rest of the work week and weekend!

Sunday Night Lows

 Sunday night's low temperatures.

Tonight's Low Temps

I'm working on creating a weather model that will predict high and low temperatures around the county.  The model is still in beta mode and will need a few minor tweaks but I'll be testing it out over the next couple of weeks.  With that being said, here are tonight's lows as forecasted by my weather model.  I have a feeling they might be a little too high but we will see.

















Actual Lows:

Conneautville:   NA
Conneaut Lake:   NA
Meadville:   48
Cochranton:   50
Saegertown:   49
Woodcock:   50
Cambridge Springs:    49
Guys Mills:   49  
Townville:   49
Titusville:   47
Spartansburg:   46

Rainfall Totals June 1, 2012

Rainfall totals for June 1, 2012.  Notice the strip of high precipitation
amounts.  This is due to a heavier rain band that was moving NNE.

Venus Transit

On June 5, Venus will cross in front of the sun and will give people a chance to view the Venus Transit, a rare event. The next one will be in the year 2117 so now is the chance to see it.  It will begin at 6:04 PM and will end at 12:51 AM and will appear as a tiny black dot slowly moving across the sun.  Remember, it is a health risk to look directly at the sun.  This will cause blindness if done at long periods of time.  There are ways to view this event safely and these ways can be found at this link:

 http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/space/story/2012-05-31/transit-of-venus/55320404/1

I think the best time to view it would be at sunset when the sun is on the horizon and you can look at it without going blind.

June Outlook

One month temperature outlook for June.  According
to the CPC, we will be about normal.
Source: CPC

One month precipitation outlook for June. According to
the CPC, we will be about normal.
Source: CPC

According to the Climate Prediction Center, June weather will be average for our area.  If this holds true, average high temperatures will be around 76°, average low temperatures will be around 56° and rainfall totals will be around 4.75 inches.

Weekend Outlook

Big difference between this weekend and last.  Last weekend we saw some sun and temperatures that were in the upper 80s.  Whole different story for this weekend as a low pressure system moves through Friday and will stall out over Ontario.  This will bring rain chances all weekend and will help keep the cooler air flowing through NW PA.  Friday will see the most rain but Saturday and Sunday both have equal chances of seeing some light rain showers.  Not the best weekend to be doing any outside activities.